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    Week Nine: Games of the Week

    the-oil-blog
    We're getting closer and closer to the playoffs and the field is taking shape. The games below will play a huge role in determining seeding and playoff chances moving forward. 
    Category
    4-4
    Record
    7-1
    156.19
    ​Points Per Game
    162.84
    179.99 (11th)
    ​OPR (Rank)
    202.65 (2nd)
    35.7%
    ​Playoff Chances
    100%
    The Sawtooths sit at just .500 entering Week Nine, but they're OPR ranks 11th in the 42-team OIL. They're a solid team, but they're facing a championship favorite in War Pony, who won the first two AFC championships. If Reed's Sawtooths pull this off, they'll set themselves up well for a run at the playoffs. If War Pony wins, they'll all-but-assure themselves a first-round bye in the playoffs. I predict Venable will do just that, leaving Reed having to win out to guarantee a playoff spot. 
    Category
    5-3
    Record
    6-2
    149.23
    ​Points Per Game
    160.51
    174.6 (15th)
    ​OPR (Rank)
    187.46 (9th)
    73.3%
    ​Playoff Chances
    88%
    To date, the Roughnecks have been maybe the surprise of the league. At 6-2, they're poised to make the playoffs for the first time since 2012. And they're ranked ninth out of 42 OIL teams, but they're playing this week without Joe Mixon and Zach Ertz, each of whom are on a bye this week. That's why I'm picking the lower-ranked Dogs of War this week. 
    Category
    5-3
    Record
    6-2
    147.39
    ​Points Per Game
    161.73
    171.66 (16th)
    ​OPR (Rank)
    191.96 (7th)
    73.3%
    ​Playoff Chances
    88%
    UPSET ALERT: The Blue Falcons average 14 fewer points per game than the Dirty Dogs, but I'm predicting them to eke out a close victory here while Buehre is dealing with bye weeks for his top QB, top RB, and top two TEs. 
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    Week Eight Standings and OPR

    the-oil-blog
    . . . and then there were none. The AFC's War Pony and the PFC's Great Plains Drifters each lost their first games of the season, ensuring no OIL team will go undefeated. 
    AFC
    NFC
    PFC
    Picture
  • Published on

    Week Eight: Games of the Week

    the-oil-blog
    Category
    4-3
    ​Record
    5-2
    161.11
    ​Points Per Game
    148.76
    185.80
    ​OPR
    178.77
    55.4%
    ​Playoff Chances
    82.9%
    Although Green (who has lost the last two Thunder Bowls) has the better record, Reed's Sawtooths are a more impressive team (despite barely being above .500). A win here could cement Reed as a title contender after two years of Danny Woodhead-induced mediocrity. And that's what I'm predicting will happen as Reed starts making a run. 
    Category
    5-2
    ​Record
    6-1
    149.67
    ​Points Per Game
    159.01
    178.43
    ​OPR
    194.82
    82.9%
    ​Playoff Chances
    90.0%
    Pyle and Lucky Enuf have been jockeying for a first-round bye all season, and a win here could go a long way in that pursuit. But Cobb's Dogs of War have been sneaky-good thus far, sitting at 5-2 and clearly in the playoff hunt. This game will be a toss-up but is equally important for both squads. 
    Category
    2-5
    ​Record
    7-0
    152.32
    ​Points Per Game
    157.57
    161.79
    ​OPR
    198.47
    6.9%
    ​Playoff Chances
    100%
    I chose this matchup because Brake, at 2-5, absolutely needs a win to keep his playoff streak alive. The Brawlers have not only made the playoffs in each of their three OIL seasons, but they've made it to the championship game in each of those seasons. He'll need to win out to guarantee a playoff spot this year. Meanwhile, Gray's Great Plains Autodrafters are on the verge of setting the OIL record for most wins to begin a season. Either way, this game has real stakes, and I'm picking Brake to pull off the upset.
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    Week Seven: Games of the Week

    the-oil-blog
    Category
    3-3
    Record
    3-3
    145.75
    ​Points Per Game
    158.17
    169.29
    ​OPR
    177.97
    42.5%
    ​Playoff Chances
    42.5%
    Roe's Rebels have won three of four since beginning the season 0-2. But the Warm Bodies are the stronger team this week, and I predict them to cement their status as playoff contenders here. 
    Category
    4-2
    Record
    5-1
    166.03
    ​Points Per Game
    161.03
    193.60
    ​OPR
    199.21
    71.2%
    ​Playoff Chances
    88.2%
    Lucky Enuf manager Kevin Pyle is one Aaron Rodgers touchdown away from being 6-0, while the Hangovers have dropped two despite averaging over 166 points per game. The winner here sets themselves up nicely going into the second half of the season, and I believe that winner will be Duffy. Pyle is without JuJu Smith-Schuster this week, and I expect that to be the difference. 
    Category
    2-4
    Record
    3-3
    151.33
    ​Points Per Game
    163.56
    163.10
    ​OPR
    183.82
    8.3%
    ​Playoff Chances
    42.5%
    Two-time champion Brake began this season 0-4, but he's won two straight in dramatic fashion. If he can win this week, he'll almost be out of that four-game hole he dug. No team has ever started 0-4 and made the playoffs, so keep an eye the Brawlers. Team Tadlock has averaged over 12 more points per game than Brake, but this week is too close to call. Selfishly, I'm hoping Brake wins just for the story of an 0-4 team turning it around though. 
  • Published on

    Week Six Standings and OPR

    the-oil-blog
    With Pyle's last-minute loss to Finch, there are only two unbeaten teams remaining in the OIL (and both of them were auto-drafted). On the flip side, Rogers remains the only OIL team without a win as his nightmare season continues. Below the standings is the current OPR for each team. The top 10 features two AFC teams, four NFC teams, and four PFC teams. 
    AFC
    NFC
    PFC
    Picture